Brexit… The likely fate of Cornwall Conservative MPs at the next election. 30/08/2019 The above model shows what happens with a move away from Conservatives and towards the Brexit Party as the Conservatives are punished by the electorate for having failed to deliver…
Brexit… The Triumph of Optimism 25/07/201925/07/2019 This article began in the pub. The sun was shining upon North Cornwall and Wadebridge was looking lovely. Jon and I were sitting and discussing the election of Boris as…
Brexit… Michael Gove is an Honourable Man 10/06/201910/06/2019 There are a large number of characters from classical literature who have wielded the knife and slaughtered their own allies. Shakespeare’s plays alone produce several such charmers: Macbeth, Richard III,…
Brexit… The Modern Perils of Burke’s Bristol Speech 07/04/201908/04/2019 Update: This article has been re-published in Country Squire Magazine under the title "Let them Eat Cake". After the referendum and the General Election which followed it, both of the…
Brexit… The Post-Brexit Tory Doom 28/03/2019 In 1957, the newly appointed Prime Minister, Harold Macmillan, wrote a note to Michael Fraser, the director of the Conservative Research Department. “I am always hearing about the Middle Classes.…
Brexit… May’s Vichy Britain? 26/11/201826/11/2018 Thursday 15th November 2018 might perhaps go down in British political history as one to remember. More likely is that it will be remembered as only one of a series…
Brexit… Tory MPs and the UKIP Menace 25/09/2018 In an earlier article, I suggested that there is an impending electoral disaster for the Conservatives on the scale of the 1997 General Election - i.e. a potential loss of…
Brexit… The Quiet Revolution 12/09/201817/09/2018 A rarely spotted phenomenon, sometimes acknowledged by one or two of the more astute political pundits, is that the Labour Party has moved away from its core of working-class voters.…
Beyond Brexit… Chequers, steamrollers and the little matter of votes. 24/07/201824/07/2018 Three days after Theresa May had imprisoned the entire Cabinet at Chequers and unleashed Olly Robbins to administer a day-long punishment beating, I received an e-mail from my local Conservative…
Beyond Brexit… Conservative Apocalypse II 08/07/201808/07/2018 Sufficient detail of the agreement made at Chequers on Friday has now emerged to make some sort of preliminary judgement. It is looking as if the offer that the government…